Bitcoin rally above $100K may follow US Treasury buybacks — Arthur Hayes

Investors seeking Bitcoin exposure may be running out of time to purchase below a six-figure price, as US Treasury buybacks may signal the next leg up for the world’s first cryptocurrency.This might be the “last chance” to buy Bitcoin (BTC) below the $100,000 mark, according to Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and chief investment officer of Maelstrom.“Seriously fam, this might be the last chance you have to buy $BTC < $100k,” Hayes said in an April 21 X post, hinting at incoming “treasury buy backs” as the “Bazooka” for Bitcoin’s price trajectory.Source: Arthur HayesTreasury buybacks refer to the US Treasury Department repurchasing its outstanding bonds from the open market to increase liquidity, manage federal debt or stabilize interest rates.These operations can inject liquidity into the financial system, often benefiting risk assets like Bitcoin.Related: Bitcoin up 33% since 2024 halving as institutions disrupt cycleOther analysts predicted that the growth of the fiat money supply will be Bitcoin’s main catalyst in 2025.BTC projection to $132,000 on M2 money supply growth. Source: Jamie CouttsThe growing money supply may push Bitcoin’s price above $132,000 before the end of the year, according to Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at Real Vision.However, global trade war concerns may limit investor appetite until the US and China reach a trade agreement.Related: Metaplanet tops $400M Bitcoin holdings with new $28M purchaseUS dollar sinks to 2022 low, Bitcoin gains momentumBitcoin briefly rose above $87,700 for the first time in nearly three weeks, since US President Donald Trump announced reciprocal import tariffs on April 2.“Looks like Bitcoin is pumping on continued Dollar weakness,” wrote André Dragosch, the European head of research at Bitwise, adding that the US Dollar Index “just touched the lowest level since March 2022.”BTC, DXY, 1-year chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewThe weakening US dollar may reinforce Bitcoin’s appeal as a safe-haven asset, Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, told Cointelegraph, adding:“Strong volume and technical confirmation from a descending wedge breakout suggest a potential test of the $90,000 resistance, with macro factors like a weakening dollar and rising gold correlation reinforcing BTC’s appeal as a hedge.”Despite the recent correction, Japanese and UK-based investment firms are investing hundreds of millions into Bitcoin, signaling continued institutional adoption that may accelerate Bitcoin’s four-year cycle.This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.Magazine: SCB tips $500K BTC, SEC delays Ether ETF options, and more: Hodler’s Digest, Feb. 23 – March 1

Crypto casino revenue hit $81B in 2024 despite global restrictions

Crypto casinos generated more than $81 billion in revenue in 2024, even as regulators in key jurisdictions continued to block access to the platforms, according to a new report.Citing data from the anti-online-crime platform Yield Sec, the Financial Times reported that wagers paid in crypto in 2024 generated $81.4 billion in gross gaming revenue (GGR). This metric refers to the difference between bets taken and winnings paid out.  Yield Sec data also showed that the annual revenue for crypto casinos has increased five times since 2022, despite gambling sites being blocked in the United States, China, the United Kingdom and the European Union. Crypto casino Stake rivals traditional betting platformsBetting platform Stake reported that its GGR in 2024 was around $4.7 billion, up 80% since 2022. This puts it on a par with some of the biggest gambling groups, such as Entain and Flutter. Entain reported $5 billion, while Flutter reported $14 billion in revenue in 2024. Stake offers traditional casino games, including blackjack, roulette and slots. The platform also allows users to bet on sports. Users on the betting platform generally transact in crypto, with account balances being deposited and withdrawn directly into crypto wallets. In 2023, the crypto betting platform was hacked, with $41 million withdrawn from its wallets. On Sept. 4, 2023, security firms flagged suspicious outflows from the platform. The company then confirmed the hack through social media, saying there were unauthorized transactions from its Ethereum and BNB Chain hot wallets. On Sept. 7, 2023, the US Federal Bureau of Investigation said the $41 million hack was executed by the notorious North Korean hacking group Lazarus. Related: XRP ETF ‘obvious’ as Polymarket bettors up approval odds to 85%Gamblers access illegal sites through VPNsEven though crypto gambling sites are officially blocked in many jurisdictions, users can access them by bypassing geo-blocking restrictions with VPNs, which allows users to place bets on sites blocked in their country. Former players and crypto users told the FT that many online guides show people how to bypass geo-blocking restrictions to access a crypto gambling platform. Cointelegraph confirmed that some influencers offer online tutorials that teach people how to access blocked gambling sites. “Ready-to-gamble” crypto casino accounts are also reportedly being sold on social media platforms, according to Sanya Burgess, journalist at The i Paper.Source: Sanya BurgessUsers sell accounts that have already passed through betting sites’ registration processes. On Jan. 31, Sky News reported that some users sell pre-verified crypto casino accounts for as little as $10. These ready-to-gamble accounts are reportedly sold on social media sites like Facebook.Magazine: Your AI ‘digital twin’ can take meetings and comfort your loved ones

XRP price eyes 70% rally ahead of CFTC-regulated futures launch on Coinbase

XRP (XRP) has dropped nearly 40% since hitting its multi-year high of $3.40 three months ago. Still, its ability to hold above key technical support levels, combined with a potentially market-shifting derivatives listing, has prompted some analysts to maintain a bullish outlook for the months ahead.XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingViewCoinbase XRP futures may launch on April 21From a fundamental perspective, XRP may receive a boost from the anticipated launch of XRP futures contracts on the Coinbase Derivatives platform, scheduled for April 21 under the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) oversight.Source: XThis development may inject fresh liquidity and institutional interest into the market, helping catalyze the technical breakouts projected above.XRP price chart painting Wyckoff reaccumulation XRP’s ongoing consolidation phase resembles a classic Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern, according to technical analyst Charting Guy.The Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern is a mid-cycle structure that often precedes the next leg of a broader uptrend. It suggests that smart money is absorbing supply during the cooldown, setting the stage for a potential breakout.XRP established support and began consolidating in late 2024, marking Phases A and B of the Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern. In early April 2025, the price formed a “Spring” followed by a successful “Test,” signaling seller exhaustion.XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView/Charting GuyAs of April 21, XRP is attempting to break above the descending “Creek” trendline. A breakout would confirm a “Jump Across The Creek” (JATC) and entry into Phase D. If confirmed, XRP could enter Phase E and rally 70% toward $3.55 in the coming weeks, a level aligning with the pattern’s Last Point of Support (LPS).XRP/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingViewA Fibonacci retracement graph drawn from $3.55-swing-high to $0.14-swing-low presents $5.65 as the upside target for June if XRP price breaks above $3.55.Falling wedge aligns with XRP’s bullish outlookThe upside outlook aligns with XRP’s prevailing falling wedge pattern, as spotted by chartist “Jobcfx” on X.Notably, the bullish reversal structure has been narrowing since February 2025. A breakout above the wedge’s upper trendline, currently around the $2.20-2.40 area, would signal the start of a new rally.XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingViewFalling wedge breakouts typically target a move equal to the pattern’s maximum height. In XRP’s case, if it breaks above $2.20, the projected upside target for May lands near $4.00, aligning with the Wyckoff reaccumulation’s Phase E breakout zone.Related: XRP price analysts project $10 next, ‘optimistic’ target of $20Interestingly, Bitcoin (BTC) is also forming a falling wedge pattern on its chart. If confirmed, a bullish breakout in Bitcoin could act as a catalyst for the altcoin market, potentially accelerating XRP’s upward momentum as well.This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

US dollar goes 'no-bid' — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

Bitcoin (BTC) is eyeing new April highs as macro instability suddenly delivers a tailwind for BTC price performance.Bitcoin is on the way up, nearing $88,000, but few market participants are willing to trust the strength of snap price moves.A new macro week dawns in the shadow of the US trade war, with Federal Reserve speakers lining up to take to the stage.Gold is shattering all-time highs again, but this time Bitcoin is starting to react.US dollar weakness exhibits historic traits as three-year lows spark bullish predictions for Bitcoin and commodities.The newest BTC hodlers are already profiting from the latest move, but speculators are waiting for a reclaimation of $91,000.BTC price spike met with skepticismBitcoin is starting the week off right with a 3% rise on the back of fresh macroeconomic turmoil amid the US-China trade war.BTC/USD reached $87,705 after the April 20 weekly close, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows, its highest in nearly three weeks.BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewReacting, however, traders have been cautious, highlighting the unreliable nature of volatile moves that begin during non-TradFi trading hours on weekends.“Nice breakout, but it’s on low volume,” trading resource Stockmoney Lizards wrote in part of a response on X. “WIll definitely need confirmation. In any case, you shouldn’t be too euphoric yet.”Never like to trust a Sunday pump – lots of false breakouts here by the looks of it. Lets see what next week brings pic.twitter.com/cVE1j1Gh63— Honeybadger (@HoneybadgerC) April 21, 2025Fellow trading account IncomeSharks shared similar views, saying that BTC price strength must continue in the face of weak equities.“Nice to see the downtrend breakout but the timing is important,” it said.“Sunday is not a day to celebrate a low volume pump while stock markets are closed. If you want to see a bullish moves lets see stocks open red tomorrow and keep this candle green. Then we can have fun.”BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: IncomeSharks/XCrypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe continued the lukewarm reaction to the upside on both Bitcoin and gold, predicting that they “probably will give it back.”“Needs to get above $88,804 to break the series of lower highs and lower lows,” trader, analyst and podcast host Scott Melker, known as the “Wolf of All Streets,” added. “Is it time?”Fed policy in spotlight as officials speakThe coming days will see the Federal Reserve take the spotlight as senior officials comment on the current macroeconomic landscape.A total of eight Federal Reserve presidents will shed fresh light on what is an increasingly contentious status quo for the US, with the Fed at odds with demands from President Donald Trump.Last week, Trump even called for Fed Chair Jerome Powell to be fired, a move that sparked concerns over US economic stability.Powell has repeatedly come out hawkish on financial policy, hinting at being in no rush to lower interest rates as Trump’s trade war fuels inflation concerns.The latest data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool reflects this, with traders seeing a rate cut likely only at the Fed’s June meeting.Fed target rate probabilities for June FOMC meeting. Source: CME GroupWith little by way of new macro data due for release, however, markets will continue to focus on the trade war itself, along with the volatility it often creates.The start of the week has been no exception so far; China issuing warnings over collaboration with the US to isolate it immediately sent stock futures tumbling while gold soared to new all-time highs.Bitcoin, in a break with recent tradition, managed to copy gold’s optimism instead of following equities lower.“Gold has hit its 55th all-time high in 12 months and Bitcoin is officially joining the run, now above $87,000,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter responded in part of an X post on the topic. “The narrative in both Gold and Bitcoin is aligning for the first time in years: Gold and Bitcoin are telling us that a weaker US Dollar and more uncertainty are on the way.”Gold nears record $3,400 on trade war fearsGold remains the standout bullish story for 2025.Amid the uncertainty wrought by the trade war and its potential long-term impact on inflation and global assets, XAU/USD has exploded nearly 30% year-to-date.The pair is currently circling a record $3,400 per ounce, and while some have warned that a “blow-off top” is due, momentum refuses to slow down.XAU/USD 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewKobeissi suggested that Trump’s latest trade-war post on social media, in the form of a “non-tariff cheating” sheet, helped reignite gold’s relentless march higher.“President Trump’s ‘non-tariff cheating’ list is arguably one of the best things to happen to gold all year,” it argued.“Gold knows what’s coming next.”Kobeissi revealed that gold had, in fact, outperformed the S&P 500 since the COVID-19 cross-market crash in March 2020.For Bitcoin, however, change appears to be afoot. As Cointelegraph reported, BTC/USD has finally begun to mimic gold’s reaction to macro uncertainty after spending months in a downtrend.As that downtrend is slowly left behind, talk is turning to historical precedent. In the past, Bitcoin breakouts have lagged gold by around three months.“After futures opened it didn’t take long for $BTC and $GOLD to move up quickly as equities moved down,” trader Daan Crypto Trades told X followers. “Pretty interesting move which is now compounding on the relative strength BTC has already been showing for weeks.”BTC/USD vs. XAU/USD 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewDollar strength plumbs new 3-year lowsAdding to the mix is fresh US dollar weakness, something that hedge fund creator Andreas Steno Larsen described as a “good early sign for Bitcoin.”“We ain’t seen nothing yet, if this continues (and if Powell is laid off),” he argued on X alongside a chart of BTC versus USD returns. Bitcoin vs. USD returns. Source: Andreas Steno/XThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks greenback strength against a basket of major US trading partner currencies, was down another 1.3% on April 21 at the time of writing. This, in turn, brought the year-to-date downside to nearly 10%.Now at its lowest levels since March 2022, DXY is being heralded as the powder keg to spark a giant bull run in both Bitcoin and commodities.“The US Dollar has gone ‘no bid,’ teetering on a historic 14-yr uptrend breakdown from 2011,” trading resource Rock Bottom Entries told X followers. “Forget 2016 & 2020—this will ignite a 2000s-style commodity supercycle.”US Dollar Index (DXY) 1-month chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewBitcoin traditionally outperforms to the upside during periods of rapid DXY suppression, an inverse correlation that has been lacking in recent times.“Contrary to what you hear on social media, Bitcoin has been in lockstep with DXY for a couple of years,” analyst Joe Dean thus commented on the phenomenon. “DXY overshot to the upside, then the downside, and will likely find its way back to the mean. $BTC will likely follow.”US dollar index (DXY) vs. BTC/USD chart. Source: Joe Dean/XBitcoin newbies back in the blackShort-term BTC price moves are already making a tangible difference to certain Bitcoin investor cohorts.Related: Bitcoin prepares for launch from $85K, BNB, HYPE, TAO and RNDR could followNew research from onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant reveals that even a tap of $87,000 has placed the most recent set of buyers in the black, with an average 3.7% profit.“This is a short-term bullish signal, showing renewed confidence and reduced panic risk among the newest market entrants,” CryptoQuant contributor Crazzyblockk wrote in one of its “Quicktake” blog posts.The move comes in contrast to the large short-term holder (STH) cohort, comprised of buyers up to six months old, which has an aggregate cost basis of $91,000.As Cointelegraph reported, STH cost bases can act as both support and resistance for extended periods as speculative hodlers react to sudden price swings.“Until BTC closes above the $91K threshold, Short-Term Holders remain in loss. This may sustain latent sell pressure, especially if price momentum weakens — reinforcing the importance of a decisive breakout above STH realized price to neutralize this overhang,” CryptoQuant added.Bitcoin STH profitability (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuantThis article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Ethereum Foundation shifts focus to user experience, layer-1 scaling

The Ethereum Foundation, the nonprofit organization developing the Ethereum ecosystem, is shifting its focus to user experience and layer-1 scaling challenges following its March leadership reshuffle. On April 21, the Ethereum Foundation co-executive director Tomasz Stańczak shared an X post detailing how the organization has changed since its change in leadership structure. Stańczak said the change aims to give Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin more time for research and exploration rather than dealing with day-to-day tasks and crisis management. “Each time Vitalik shares insights or communicates a direction, he accelerates major long‑term breakthroughs,” he wrote. Stańczak added that Buterin’s recent posts had advanced promising avenues and helped realign the community around the organization’s core values. Vitalik Buterin tackles Ethereum privacy and speedOn March 1, the Ethereum Foundation announced that its core researcher Hsiao-Wei Wang and Stańczak, the CEO of Nethermind, would become the co-directors of the organization from March 17. Since the changes in the organization’s leadership structure, Buterin has stepped back from daily operations. He has since published proposals addressing the Ethereum network’s privacy and performance limitations.On April 11, the Ethereum co-founder unveiled a privacy roadmap for the network. In the post, Buterin proposed having features that anonymize user transactions. Buterin said the features should be “ideally turned on by default.” Besides the privacy of transactions, Buterin also shared a post addressing Ethereum’s speed and efficiency. On April 20, Buterin proposed a change in the Ethereum Virtual Machine’s (EVM) contract language to improve the efficiency and speed of the blockchain’s execution layer. Stańczak said that while Buterin’s proposals will “always carry weight,” they are supposed to start conversations and encourage progress in different research areas. The executive said the community can either refine or reject the ideas. Related: Debate as Solana briefly flips Ethereum in staking market capFoundation targets near-term protocol upgradesThe Ethereum Foundation will shift much of its research to “near-term” goals, including addressing user experience and scaling challenges in upcoming protocol upgrades, Stańczak said. Stańczak added that the foundation will concentrate on layer-1 scaling, support for layer-2 scaling, and user experience improvements such as interoperability in the Pectra, Fusaka and Glamsterdam upgrades. While the focus shifted to near-term results, the executive said the team is also looking into ways to bring in more long-term projects. “Posts from our top researchers help some of them to ship within one or two years through initiatives such as next‑generation execution and consensus layers,” Stańczak said. Cointelegraph contacted the Ethereum Foundation for comment but did not receive a response by publication.Magazine: Memecoin degeneracy is funding groundbreaking anti-aging research

Crypto adoption will be driven by high-growth markets, with or without the US

Opinion by: Dominic Schwenter, chief operating officer of LiskThe US is in the middle of a crypto boom. Exchange-traded fund approvals have opened the door to institutional adoption, liquidity is increasing, and regulatory clarity is beginning to take shape under a more crypto-aligned administration. Filings from the Securities and Exchange Commission referencing blockchain hit an all-time high in February 2025, signaling a broader shift in how seriously the technology is being taken at the highest levels.This momentum is good for the industry. US-based crypto companies have spent nearly a decade building through regulatory uncertainty, and they deserve the attention and rewards that are finally arriving. Is institutional support finally showing up? It’s overdue — and well-earned.Zooming in on the US too much, however, puts the industry at risk of missing what’s happening elsewhere. Some of the most important crypto adoption today takes root in places far outside the spotlight.The most exciting crypto adoption isn’t happening on Wall Street. It is unfolding in high-growth markets where people use crypto not to speculate but out of necessity. These communities didn’t wait for headlines. They built through every cycle and are now setting the pace for where Web3 is going next.High-growth markets are leading in adoptionFifteen of the top 20 countries on Chainalysis’s 2024 Global Crypto Adoption Index are in high-growth regions such as Indonesia, Vietnam, the Philippines and Nigeria. These aren’t just speculative hotspots. In many of these countries, crypto is part of daily life. Unlike boom-and-bust markets, adoption here hasn’t wavered. It is grounded in utility.In many of these economies, crypto helps families facilitate remittance, offers a safer way to store value when local currencies aren’t stable, and lets small businesses move money without friction. In the West, crypto still carries the sheen of a high-risk investment. In high-growth markets, it’s already embedded into daily life. That’s what real adoption looks like.Builders are shifting to high-growth marketsAs steady, practical usage rises, builder activity follows. Currently, the global developer map is changing fast. According to the 2024 Electric Capital Developer Report, Asia now accounts for 32% of active crypto developers — a massive jump from just 12% in 2015. Over the same period, the US share dropped sharply, from 38% to 19%. The blockchain talent pool isn’t shrinking. It’s moving to where the momentum is.Additionally, 41% of all new crypto developers now come from Asia, illustrating a growing pipeline of builders emerging outside of traditional tech hubs. These aren’t just hobbyists but the next wave of founders, architects and engineers choosing to build closer to the problems crypto can solve.Recent: Bitcoin’s role as an inflation hedge depends on where one lives — AnalystThis shift isn’t limited to Central Asia. Africa, South America and Southeast Asia are all seeing steady increases in developer activity, while North America and Europe continue to decline in relative share. The message is clear: Web3 innovation is no longer anchored to a single geography. It’s being driven by builders who are closer to real-world needs — and who are designing for them.Blockchain solves real problemsThe surge in developer activity and adoption across high-growth markets isn’t happening in a vacuum. Instead, it’s tied to real-world effects. A clear example is PepsiCo South Africa’s use of blockchain for supply chain tracking in the informal trade sector. In a region where traditional infrastructure is often fragmented or absent, this implementation does what blockchain was meant to do: solve problems.Using a blockchain-powered end-to-end digital payments solution like Lov.cash, PepsiCo enables cashless payments between small, often unbanked retailers and wholesalers. The system also gave wholesalers a clear view into what was selling and where — helping them plan smarter and cut down on waste. There’s no token speculation here, no shiny non-fungible tokens — just a real solution to a real supply chain problem.Stories like this rarely get top billing, but they’re where the technology actually delivers. In places where basic infrastructure is lacking, blockchain isn’t an experiment. It’s a workaround. If the industry keeps chasing hype while ignoring this influence, it’ll miss the most significant chance to make a difference.A call to action for Web3 buildersWhat’s happening in the US is worthy of celebration — but it’s not the whole story. Real-world adoption, momentum from builders, and real use cases are accelerating in high-growth markets, where crypto is already making a difference.This is where Web3’s long-term effect will be shaped. Builders and investors should stop waiting for validation from Washington or Wall Street and start paying attention to the places where the tech is solving real problems right now.Crypto didn’t wait for the US to matter. If the goal is to build something truly global, it’s time to follow the people already using it to make things work.Opinion by: Dominic Schwenter, chief operating officer of Lisk. This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Metaplanet tops $400M Bitcoin holdings with new $28M purchase

Japanese investment firm Metaplanet has increased its Bitcoin holdings to more than $400 million after its latest purchase.Metaplanet acquired 330 Bitcoin (BTC) for $28.2 million at an average price of $85,605 per BTC, bringing the investment firm’s total holdings to 4,855 Bitcoin worth $414 million, according to an April 21 post from Simon Gerovich, the CEO of Metaplanet.The firm’s Bitcoin yield surpassed 119% year-to-date after its latest investment.Source: Simon GerovichMetaplanet issued 2 billion Japanese yen ($13.3 million) of bonds to buy more Bitcoin on March 31, Cointelegraph reported.Related: UK firm buys $250M Bitcoin as analysts eye quiet Easter weekendThe $414 million in Bitcoin holdings make Metaplanet Asia’s largest and the world’s 10th-largest corporate Bitcoin holder, Bitbo data shows.Source: Bitbo According to Enmanuel Cardozo, a market analyst at the asset tokenization platform Brickken, the growing institutional presence of firms, such as Strategy and Tether, is accelerating the four-year Bitcoin cycle.“That puts the bottom around Q3 this year and a peak mid-2026, but I think we might see things move it a bit sooner because the market’s more mature now with more liquidity,” the analyst told Cointelegraph.Related: $1T stablecoin supply could drive next crypto rally — CoinFund’s PakmanMetaplanet plans to reach 21,000 BTCThe latest acquisitions are part of Metaplanet’s plans to accumulate 21,000 BTC by 2026, aligning with its mission to drive Bitcoin adoption across Japan.Often dubbed “Asia’s MicroStrategy,” Metaplanet has drawn comparisons to Michael Saylor’s company Strategy, which continues to top the list of public Bitcoin holders.Metaplanet’s latest investment was announced a week after the latest purchase by Strategy, the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder.Source: Michael SaylorStrategy bought 3,459 BTC for $285.5 million at an average price of $82,618 per BTC, bringing its total holding to 531,644 BTC acquired for a cumulative $35.92 billion, Cointelegraph reported on April 14.Despite tariff uncertainty limiting risk appetite among traditional and crypto investors in the short term, analysts are optimistic about Bitcoin’s price trajectory for the next decade.Bitcoin may surpass $1.8 million by 2035, driven by its growing recognition as a superior savings technology, set to rival or surpass gold’s over $21 trillion market capitalization, Joe Burnett, director of market research at Unchained, told Cointelegraph during the  Chainreaction live show on X.Magazine: SCB tips $500K BTC, SEC delays Ether ETF options, and more: Hodler’s Digest, Feb. 23 – March 1

Crypto vs. traditional stocks and bonds: What’s the difference?

Crypto, stocks and bonds: Are they the same? When you dive into investing, you’ll find three frequently utilized investment options: Crypto is the risky thrill-seeker’s choice, stocks offer a middle ground with growth potential, and bonds are for those who prefer a steadier, more predictable path. While both stocks and crypto offer growth potential, regulation makes stock market investments more structured and predictable, and crypto aims for decentralization and remains less regulated.CryptoCryptocurrency is a digital currency built on blockchain technology, a decentralized, transparent and secure system that records all transactions. No entity, such as a bank, directly controls it. Crypto is known for massive swings — big gains (and losses) can happen fast, making it exciting for those who want to play the high-risk game. Although cryptocurrency has been available for a while, its adoption has surged in recent years, gaining traction among retail investors, institutions and even some governments. Cryptocurrency is not universally regulated and can be accessed through various channels, including crypto exchanges, brokers, ATMs and fintech apps.StocksStocks represent ownership in a company — when you buy a stock, you’re purchasing a share of that business. If the company performs well and earns profits, shareholders may benefit through dividends and capital gains. On the flip side, poor performance or negative market sentiment can lead to losses.Stocks are typically regulated by government agencies, such as the US Securities and Exchange Commission, making them generally less risky than cryptocurrencies. However, they are still influenced by factors such as company performance, market conditions, economic trends and global events — making them potentially volatile.You can purchase stocks through traditional stock exchanges (like the NYSE or Nasdaq) or online brokerage platforms.BondsBonds are essentially loans that investors give to governments or companies. In exchange, the issuer pays regular interest over a set period and returns the full loan amount — known as the principal — when the bond reaches its maturity date, which can range from a few months to 30 years.Bonds are often considered less volatile than stocks, making them a popular choice for conservative investors. However, they are not without risks. Rising interest rates can lower a bond’s market value, inflation can erode purchasing power, and corporate bonds carry the risk of default if the issuer experiences financial trouble.The trade-off for this relative stability is usually lower returns, which may not appeal to those seeking high-growth investments. Bonds are regulated financial instruments and can typically be purchased through brokers or directly from government agencies. Is crypto more profitable compared to stocks and bonds? While crypto can offer diversification benefits, its relationship with traditional assets is complex and evolving.For instance, ​in 2024, Bitcoin (BTC), the most popular cryptocurrency, demonstrated remarkable profitability, achieving a 121% return and outperforming traditional assets like the Nasdaq 100, which gained 25.6%, and the S&P 500, which rose by 25%. Gold also saw a significant increase of 26.7%, while US large-cap stocks experienced a 24.9% gain.Bonds, on the other hand, offered a more modest return: The 10-year US Treasury bond, known for its fixed interest payments, ended the year with a yield of approximately 4.57%.Historically, Bitcoin has exhibited a low correlation with the S&P 500, averaging 0.17 over the past decade. However, this correlation has fluctuated, reaching as high as 0.75 before declining toward zero in early 2025, indicating periods of both alignment and independence from traditional markets. Tariff fallout: Which is more profitable now — Crypto, stocks or bonds? The tariffs introduced by US President Donald Trump on April 2, 2025, have had an unprecedented impact on both traditional and crypto markets. But the effects have followed the above pattern consistently — stocks experienced a sharp price reduction.According to the Guardian, the Nasdaq Composite entered a bear market by the close of trading on April 3, falling more than 20% below its most recent peak on Dec. 16, 2024. In the meantime, European indexes such as the FTSE 100 fell over 11%, and the S&P 500 dropped at least 12% since the introduction of tariffs.Crypto had an even stronger downturn, which was once seen as a hedge against market volatility but has not been immune. Bitcoin’s price dropped by over 6% and Ether’s (ETH) by more than 12% within 24 hours of the tariff announcement, as global markets reacted with fear. The unpredictability of tariff policies contributes to market jitters, affecting all asset classes, from stocks to bonds and crypto, in unique ways.Bonds have experienced only a small return rate increase, given that a higher return means a lower price for a bond. According to CNBC, in response to President Trump’s tariff announcements, global bond yields sharply dropped as investors sought safe havens amid stock market turmoil. For example, Germany’s 10-year bond yield fell from 2.72% to below 2.6%, and US Treasury yields also hit their lowest levels in months, signaling heightened demand for government debt, though economists warn this rally may not be sustainable if inflation concerns persist. Trading and investing in crypto, stocks and bonds: What sets them apart? All asset classes — crypto vs. traditional investments — involve identifying patterns, but the timeframes, dynamics and tactics differ significantly.Crypto and stock trading share similar patterns, like sensitivity to macroeconomic trends andtechnical patterns, but their market structures contrast sharply. Stock markets operate within set hours, such as the NYSE’s hours of 9:30 am–4:30 pm ET, while crypto markets run 24/7. Bonds are typically traded during regular market hours, similar to stocks, but the exact trading hours can depend on the type of bond, such as Treasurys or corporate issues.Crypto trading involves pairs using common tokens like Bitcoin or Ether as base currencies, while stocks are typically bought with fiat, and bonds are traded in fixed denominations, often with a minimum investment threshold. Liquidity issues can affect all three: Crypto can face challenges with small-cap tokens, stocks with micro-cap companies and bonds with less-traded long-term or corporate issues.Timeframes for market patterns highlight further distinctions. Crypto market patterns thrive on short-term volatility, demanding rapid decisions and frequent trades, while stock patterns often track longer-term trends tied to company performance and broader economic cycles. Bonds move the slowest, with price shifts driven primarily by interest rates, and offer stable, predictable patterns.Price drivers also set them apart. Crypto values hinge on market trends, adoption and utility; stocks rely on company fundamentals, research and earnings; and bonds depend on interest rate movements and issuer creditworthiness, prioritizing stability over growth. Entry barrier to crypto, stocks and bonds Stock issuance is governed by company laws, blockchain protocols with hard caps control crypto supply, and bonds are issued based on creditworthiness.To invest in stocks and bonds, you generally need to be at least 18 years old and have a brokerage account to invest in the stock and bond markets. Some stocks may require a higher income or level of experience, while most stocks only allow accredited or wealthy investors to participate.Buying stocks and bonds means going through regulated brokers and exchanges. Crypto, on the other hand, lets you jump in with just a wallet — no intermediary, no paperwork. Centralized crypto exchanges require Know Your Customer (KYC) verification, but decentralized platforms let you trade freely with only your private keys.Did you know? Stocks represent company equity with dividends; crypto represents digital assets with varying uses; and bonds are loans offering fixed-interest payments. Regulatory differences between crypto, stocks and bonds While stocks and bonds follow strict rules, crypto is still figuring things out, making buying, selling, holding and taxes a whole different experience.In most countries, investing in stocks and bonds is legal and regulated. Still, some governments, like North Korea and Cuba, impose strict restrictions or outright bans on private investment in these assets. Crypto faces a patchwork of regulations worldwide, ranging from full bans in countries like China and Egypt to partial restrictions in places like India, where regulations limit banking support but don’t outlaw trading. Meanwhile, crypto-friendly nations like El Salvador embrace digital assets with clear legal frameworks and government support.Holding stocks and bonds is straightforward. The shares sit safely with a brokerage, and bonds pay you interest at fixed intervals. Holding crypto, however, comes with risks. You can self-custody in a wallet, but if you lose your private keys, your funds are gone forever. If you keep crypto on an exchange, there’s always a risk of hacks or platform failures.Taxes add another layer of complexity. Stocks and bonds typically fall under capital gains and dividend tax rules, with clear guidelines based on how long you’ve held them. Crypto tax laws vary widely by country. Some countries treat it like property, others like a commodity, and a few don’t tax it at all. Keeping track of every transaction is crucial, as even swapping one crypto for another can be taxable. Crypto vs. stocks vs. bonds: Which one should you buy in 2025? Choosing between crypto, stocks and bonds in 2025 depends on your personality, risk appetite and financial goals.If you love the adrenaline and believe in the future of decentralized finance (DeFi), then a crypto-focused portfolio might be for you. For example, a high-risk, high-reward portfolio could be 70% crypto, 20% stocks and 10% bonds.If you prefer a more structured approach but still want growth, stocks balance risk and return. A portfolio, for instance, with 60% stocks, 30% crypto and 10% bonds could give exposure to innovation while keeping things grounded.For those who sleep better knowing their money is safe, bonds provide stability. For example, a conservative mix could contain 70% bonds, 20% stocks and just 10% crypto, ensuring steady returns with a taste of market excitement.This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.